The Experts Predict The Post 2010 Election Headlines
We asked our Experts to predict the headlines next Wednesday, the day after the 2010 election. Here’s what they said:
A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Election
Adler seat flips in NJ; GOP takes U.S. House
Bad Day for Democrats
Big Day for the Republicans
Boehner, Schumer to lead divided Legislature; Tea Party Legacy Uncertain
Change Wins!
Christie Propels State Races, NJ GOP Wins Reflect National Romp
Christie Sweeps Donovan, Goodwin Into Office
Christie Wins
Conservative Trends Gain Strength
D.C. Will Be Drinking Tea!!!
Demise of Dems Not Overestimated
Democrats continue to lose ground
Democrats fail to Turnout, GOP takes House
Democrats take their lumps, but it could have been worse
Dems barely hold Senate, lose house. NJ status quo
Dems Hold Congress
Dems Lose House
Divided Government
Election Results in Political Stalemate
Frustration Sweeps Country, Republicans Pick up 48 Seats in House; Dems Hold Senate
Good Day for GOP
GOP big gains in DC less in NJ
GOP Captures Both Houses of Congress
GOP Controls Congress – Republicans even pick-up seat in NJ
GOP Controls House…Senate Awaits Lieberman Decision
GOP gains control of House but not the Senate
GOP SCORES GAINS
GOP Sweeps
GOP Sweeps House, Adds Senators and Governors
GOP Sweeps House, Senate Barely in Democratic Control
GOP Takes Both Houses
GOP Takes Congress
GOP Wins Big Across the Country
Health Care issues still need addressing
Little Wins
MESSAGE SENT… BUT WILL IT BE HEARD?
Mixed Message sent by Voters
More Change, America Still in Trouble
New Jersey Becomes Purple State
NJ Congressional Incumbents Win Re-election – Voter Turnout Low
NJ Dems Escape National Republican Tide
Obama and Dems Mid Term Rejection
Obama Faces GOP House and Senate
Party On
Pettite to Start Game 6 of World Series
Reagan Democrats to Congress: We’ve Had Enough
Record low turnout while races too close to call across U.S.
Red Tidal Wave Sweeps Incumbents Out of Office
Republican Landslide
Republican landslide skips NJ
Republican make gains in both Senate & Congress
Republican Sweep
Republican Take House; Democrats Retain Senate
Republican Tsunami
Republican Tsunami in House, Senate still Democratic
Republican Win!!!
Republicans fall short
Republicans fall short of expectations
Republicans Gain in House, Senate
Republicans gain seats but not control of House and Senate
Republicans Make Huge Gains
Republicans Roll Nationally
Republicans storm to control of the House, lose senate in squeaker
Republicans Surge Nationwide; Make Modest Gains in NJ
Republicans Sweep
Republicans Sweep Congress
Republicans Sweep House, Senate Too Close To Call
Republicans Sweep the Nation
Republicans take back both houses, Obama repudiated.
Republicans Take Back the House, Fall Short on the Senate
Republicans take control of US House of Rep.
Republicans take House, Cut into Senate Majority
Republicans take over US Senate
Republicans Take the House
Republicans Take the House
Republican’s take the House
Republicans Win Back House & Senate
Republicans win the House!
Republican’s win, but don’t grab majority in US Senate
R’s Roll Back on Top
Speaker Boehner
Sweep
Swept Clean
Tea Party Fails In NJ, Incumbents Retain Congressional Seats
Tea Party fizzles in NJ; public employees help send Greenstein to Senate
Tea Party Flops
Tea Party Hang Over for Democrats
Tea Party has a Tea Party!
Tea Party/GOP lose New Jersey
Tea-Nation
The People Have Spoken: Republicans Take Back Congress
Voter Non-Interest Yields Status Quo
We held an election and nobody came.
While Republicans Win Nationally, It’s Status Quo for NJ
Wipeout
October 2010 Survey Results
The October 2010 Results are in! Who do our Experts think will win next Tuesday? What do they think will happen to the ARC project? Is Governor Christie headed for the national ticket in 2012? Click here to see the results!
May Survey Results
To view the results click here.
April Survey Results
Click here to see the results.
We asked out Panel of Experts to put on their headline writer hat and give us their best prediction what the headlines will read after Governor Christie delivers his first Budget Address tomorrow. Here’s what they said:
Back On Track
Budget Cuts Hit Bone!
Governor Challenges Legislature To Face Crisis With Bold Budget
Christie Calls For Deep Cuts
Christie Proposes Deep Cuts In 2011 Budget
Christie Proposes Broad Cuts To State’s New Budget
Christie Proposes Slashing Homeowner Rebates
Gov To Legislature: Get On Board Or Get Out Of My Way
Governor Calls For Drastic Cuts
We Will Come Out Of This
Belt Tightning Budget Proposed
Pain, Sacrifice And Shared Misery
Governor’s Budget Shakes/Rocks Trenton/Nj
Governor Keeps Promise
Christie Budget Proposal To Cut Vital Services, Aid
Here Comes The Pain
Governor Proposes Austere Budget
Christie Announces Plan To Tackle Unprecedented Deficit – Democrats Criticize Cuts
Chistie Wields Budget Axe
Governor Calls For ‘Emergency” Budget Measures
Cutting To The Bone, Christie Warns Of Painful Measures Ahead
Gov To Nj: “We’re Broke”
More With Less: Gov. Asks Legislature And Nj Residents
Governor Christie Delivers Devastating Budget To The Legislature
No One Spared Budget Axe
No Toes Spared
Governor Proposes Sweeping Budget Cuts
Governor To Legislature: Cannot Delay Any Longer
“Christie Delivers Doomsday Budget”
Christie Lays Out Doomsday State Budget
Now Is The Time To Act Responsibly
Governor Slashes Budget
Christie To State: No Easy Choices
Governor Slashes Expenditures
Significant Cuts In Aid To Municipalities And Schools To Balance Budget
A Book Of Unpopular Choices
Nj Gov Introduces Sobering Budget; Trims Rebates, Chops Aid To Towns, Schools
Everyone Hurts
“Dorothy, We’re Not In Kansas Anymore”
Unprecedented Crisis, Christie Calls For Drastic Action And Cuts
Christie Tightens The Belt!
Christie Plus Change – Perfect Together?
No More Business As Usual!
Nj Tightens Belt – Deep Cuts Proposed By Gov
Christie
Christie Calls For Significant Cuts – Says All Will Sacrifice
The Buck Stops Here.
Tough Times Come To Trenton
Christie Keeps Promises And Cuts Spending…Dems Attack Proposal
No Mercy
Trenton To Evacuate As Cuts Lead To Avalanche
Budget Emergency Declared
Nj Braces For Cuts…Or Pain
State Needs To Bite The Bullet
New Jersey’s Great Depression
Recession Still Impacting New Jersey
Christie Proposes Drastic Cuts To Restore Fiscal Sanity
Shot Across The Bow: Gov Poses Deep Cuts To Patch Shortfall
Sr. Rebates, K-12 And Higher Ed All Cut
Day Of Reckoning
Christie To Cut Waste
“Christie Slashes Support To . . . .”
Christie’s Budget Slices Every Department, Municipalities Cry Foul
Doomsday Budget Unveiled
Governor Slashes State Budget
Governor Swings Axe At Budget
We Have No Choice
Christie Takes Axe To Budget
“Christie: Time To Tighten All Our Belts”
Christie Cuts(Example Education) Amidst Slimmed Down Budget
“Christie Wields The Knife”
Christie Takes Knife To State Budget
Doomed Under The Dome!
Christie Slashes State Spending
Battle Looms Over Christie Budget Cuts
Governor Christie Cuts Spending, Eliminates Agencies, And Challenges Unions
Christie Vows To Continue Financial Stablization
Christie Takes Axe To Budget
Governor Makes Tough Choices In Lean Budget
Christie Budget A Wake Up Call For New Jersey
Christie: No Pain-No Gain
Christie: “The State Is Broke”
Governor Keeps No Tax Pledge
Christie’s Moment Of Truth
Christie’s Sparse Budget Spares No Pain
Historic Cuts – Major Battle Looms
Ouch!
Shock And Awe
Governor’s Budget Offerred Huge Cuts
A new survey of approximately 100 association management, media, government affairs, academic and business professionals who are close observers of the workings of state government was released for the first time today in anticipation of Governor Chris Christie’s budget address tomorrow. The survey, Capitol Insights, does not include anyone who holds an elected or appointed position or a job in state government and is a joint project of NJBIZ, The Rebovich Institute for NJ Politics at Rider University, and Kaufman Zita Group, a Princeton based public affairs consulting firm. It was conducted March 9-11, 2010.
The survey, the full results of which can be viewed here, is unlike other opinion polls that seek the opinions of voters or residents of the Garden State. This survey taps into the minds of those who spend their days working with or understanding the complex problems facing decision makers and the relationships that often shape the ultimate outcomes. A full listing of the survey’s “Panel of Experts” can be viewed on the website.
NJBIZ Editor Sharon Waters said, “This poll gives the average New Jerseyan an idea of the what the ‘experts’ think is going to happen. Most of our participants earn their living understanding what’s going on in Trenton. The results of our survey represent the conventional wisdom of these insiders.”
Our panel of experts is divided on the extent to which spending will be reduced. While nearly 80% of them expect Governor Christie to sign a budget by June 30, only 17.5% were willing to predict that there would be no repeat of the government shut-down that resulted from the budget impasse in 2006. 72% predict that the legislature will send the governor bills raising both the income and corporate business tax rates.
“Experienced political insiders generally assume that no one in Trenton gets everything they want. So it shouldn’t be surprising to see that over 70% of our poll’s participants believe that some form of business tax surcharge will be included in the budget passed by the legislature, even though Governor Christie has said he won’t include it in his proposal,” noted Rebovich Institute Director Ben Dworkin.
“The good news is insiders universally believe the budget will be smaller next year. The bad news is that two-thirds of our experts think there won’t be any direct property tax relief, aka a rebate check, for anyone but seniors, veterans and the disabled,” added Tom Wilson, a Partner at Kaufman Zita Group and the former Republican State Chairman.
Respondents were also asked to rate the relationships between Gov. Christie, Senate President Sweeney and Speaker Oliver on a scale of 1 to 10 with “1 being diametrically opposed, confrontational and cold and 10 being totally in-synch, cooperative, and cordial.” Our panel of experts said the relationship between Sweeney and Oliver was strongest giving it an average rating of 6.3, the Christie-Sweeney relationship received an average rating of 5.6, and the Christie-Oliver relationship was given an average rating of 4.2.
To see what our panelists predict the headlines will read after Christie’s budget address, how many Republicans and Democrats will vote for the final budget bill, and the rest of our results, visit www.capitolinsightsnj.com.
